LARC 3Q-2022 U.S. Lodging Industry Outlook
![LARC 3Q-2022 U.S. Lodging Industry Outlook](/picture/153113797/larc-3q-2022-us-lodging-industry-outlook.jpg?t=1586854229)
We will walk through our current outlook and discuss some highlights of our U.S. Market forecasts.
LARC has released its latest Market Intelligence Reports for 47 markets under current coverage and the U.S. overall.
LARC expects U.S. RevPAR to increase by 27.4% to $91.53 in 2022, resulting in an annual RevPAR 6% above 2019 levels. The recovery is driven by continued strength in ADR. LARC anticipates ADR to rise by 19.7% this year to $149.23, or 14% above 2019 levels. With occupancy expected to increase 6.4% in 2022 to 61.3%, LARC has a more conservative view of the demand recovery. LARC expects occupancy to peak this cycle in 2024 at 64.0%, well below 2019 levels of 66.1%.
For 2022, LARC also anticipates U.S. Hotel EBITDA to grow by nearly 65% and hotel values to increase 10%. We believe values will recover to 2019 levels this year and Hotel EBITDA by 2023.
For more detail on our views that shape our current U.S. industry forecast as well as color on several of the U.S. cities we expect to be the best and worst performing markets, click here.
On Tuesday September 13, 2022 at 2:00 pm EST, we will be hosting a webinar to walk through our methodology, provide high-level key takeaways from our forecasts and answer any questions you may have.
Please contact us if you are interested in learning more about LARC's industry-leading Market Intelligence capabilities.
Better Market Intelligence
LARC's Market Intelligence Reports offer more than industry-leading market information and data, they include short-term and long-term forecasts for the following key outputs on a market-wide basis, updated quarterly:
- Supply
- Demand
- Occupancy
- ADR
- RevPAR
- Expense growth
- EBITDA growth
- Cap Rates
- Property value growth
LARC's reports provide transparent predictive modeling and back-testing to help you get comfortable that our forecasts are as accurate as possible. Additionally, LARC reports offer transparency related to our model drivers and sensitivity tables on the most influential variables. In these uncertain times, the importance of more accurate and more transparent forecasting is even greater than before. We believe that better lodging forecasting leads to better business decisions.
This webinar is hosted by Lodging Analytics Research & Consulting, Inc