It’s nothing new that Google Hotels has become the most relevant metasearch player, with nearly 85% share in 2022. Most hotels can see this in their own figures. There are a number of reasons for this success: new placements for Google Hotels in search results and maps, the first metasearch to add a commission program participation model for hotels, and many new features for users that reduce friction in their search and booking experience.

However, one of the most disruptive features launched recently by Google was free booking links, in March 2021. Suddenly, hotels had a new and free place to display their direct rates. What’s more, in most cases, the direct entry occupies the first position within the organic results, increasing the visibility of the direct channel in a highly visible and free placement. We should be cautious though, because Google has never officially stated that this first position is reserved for the direct channel, so it could change at any time. On initial inspection, many hotels that did not participate in Hotel Ads also appeared. As a result, customers can easily find direct rates for many hotels worldwide by simply searching in Google.

Increasing contribution of Google Hotels to direct bookings

Before we start, let’s review some important dates to better understand the numbers we’ll see below:

To understand how the contribution of Google Hotels (both paid and free) has evolved over time, we split our set of hotels in two: those that have had active campaigns for the past few years, and those that have never had paid campaigns and only appear with free booking links.

  • Hotels with paid campaigns (and free booking links)

We selected more than 650 hotels that have had active paid campaigns in Google Hotel Ads for, at least, the last four years. For these hotels, the contribution from Google Hotels increased and generated more bookings each year, with the sole exception of 2020 due to the pandemic.

  • Bookings from paid campaigns increased by 4% in 2022, accounting for 82% of bookings.
  • Bookings exclusively from free booking links grew 154%, accounting for the other 18% of all Google Hotels bookings in 2022.
  • 2022 ended with 15% more total bookings than 2021, and 63% more than 2019. Despite some potential cannibalization between free and paid links, the sum of the two is growing, and that’s what matters to hotels.
Source: mirai.comSource: mirai.com
Source: mirai.com
  • Hotels participating in Google Hotels only with free booking links

We analyzed more than 250 hotels that have never had any paid campaigns on Hotel Ads. Therefore, the entire Google Hotels’ contribution comes from free booking links. We see a strong increase of 213% in 2022, very much in line with the growth of hotels participating in campaigns. This impressive growth is the result of Google expanding free booking links to search and maps in March 2022.

The beauty for these hotels is that these generated bookings are mostly incremental, as there is no cannibalization within Hotel Ads, although there could be some potential cannibalization with traditional search results (both ads and organic).

Source: mirai.comSource: mirai.com
Source: mirai.com
  • Comparing the two sets of hotels

It would be unfair to compare the absolute number of bookings from one set to the other, as the numbers are very different. Hotels with active paid campaigns tend to be larger and more sophisticated than those that only participate with free booking links. They are also more likely to invest heavily in other online marketing placements, such as Google Ads and other metasearch players.

Source: mirai.comSource: mirai.com
Source: mirai.com

What we can compare, however, is the share of bookings coming from Google Hotels in both sets. We can see that the contribution of free booking links is growing rapidly for those hotels without paid campaigns. These hotels typically do not invest in online marketing, so free booking links are their best chance to compete with OTAs in Google Hotels. A growing share up to 7.7% in Q4 2022 is definitely good news for these hotels. Remember this number was 0% in 2020.

For those hotels investing in paid campaigns, the picture is quite different, although not in a negative way. Despite a 15% growth in the number of bookings generated by Google Hotels in 2022, we see a declining share starting in Q4 2021. This is because the total number of direct bookings grew at a higher rate than those coming from Google Hotels. A major reason is that these hotels literally doubled their investment in Google Ads in 2022, compared to 2019 (they barely invested anything in 2020 and 2021), shifting traffic and bookings from other sources back to Ads. There are other reasons, which we analyzed in this other post.

Source: mirai.comSource: mirai.com
Source: mirai.com

Differences between paid and free traffic and bookings

Does the customer behave differently when clicking on paid or free links? What’s the impact on the conversion rate? What about ADR, length of stay and booking window? Are mobile bookings different?

Looking at the results below for Google Hotels, you might not expect significant differences between paid and free links. But the numbers prove us wrong.

Source: mirai.comSource: mirai.com
Source: mirai.com
  • Paid links convert 62% higher than free booking links

In our first analysis back in May 2021, just three months after the launch of the free booking links, the conversion rate was 64% higher on paid links than on free ones. We repeated the analysis, using the same number of properties (more than 900), over the last two years. The conversion rate trend seems to have consolidated over time, with a 62% higher ratio for paid than for free booking links. It seems that customers who click on paid links are lower in the funnel (closer to the decision to book) than those who click on free booking links.

Source: mirai.comSource: mirai.com
Source: mirai.com

If we break down the conversion rate, according to the placement of Google Hotels within the Google ecosystem (maps or search results), we also find some small differences. While paid campaigns convert slightly better in search results than in maps (3.60% vs. 3.36%), free booking links have a higher conversion rate in maps (2.29% vs. 2.08%).

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